Have you ever wondered what our future is like?Practically all people _1_ a desire to predict their future _2_.Most people seem inclined to _3_ this task using causal reasoning.First we _4_ recognize that future circumstances are _5_ caused or conditioned by present ones.We learn that getting an education will _6_ how much money we earn later and that swimming beyond the reef may bring an unhappy _7_ with a shark.
- g/ x) h) {* t; Y% p4 n$ K Second,people also learn that such _8_ of cause and effect are probabilistic(可能的) in nature.That is,the effects occur more often when the causes occur than when the causes are _9_, but not always.Thus,students learn that studying hard _10_ good grades in most instances,but not every time.Science makes these concepts of causality and probability more _11_ and provides techniques for dealing _12_ then more accurately than does causal human inquiry.In looking at ordinary human inquiry,we need to _13_ between prediction and understanding.Often,even if we don't understand why,we are willing to act _14_ the basis of a demonstrated predictive ability.$ z1 f/ Q T# l# J
Whatever the primitive drives _15_ motivate human beings,satisfying them depends heavily on the ability to _16_ future circumstances.The attempt to predict is often played in a _17_ of knowledge and understanding.If you can understand why certain regular patterns _18_,you can predict better than if you simply observe those patterns.Thus,human inquiry aims _19_ answering both "what" and "why" question,and we pursue these _20_ by observing and figuring out.
( I; `# j" N7 v: K" e 1. [A]exhibit [B]exaggerate [C]examine [D]exceed
4 d9 e, o0 D! v5 Y# q. D; e 2. [A]contexts [B]circumstances [C]inspections [D]intuitions7 h. P0 N8 P. K6 P$ X( P" e+ Q
3.[A]underestimate [B]undermine [C]undertake [D]undergo
: p+ I/ m( G' W% X9 c 4. [A]specially [B]particularly [C]always [D]generally0 b, r1 x, A1 t$ {8 m
5. [A]somehow [B]somebody [C]someone [D]something d: z, K5 o$ R2 o6 y' l: I
6. [A]enact [B]affect [C]reflect [D]inflect! l% |1 ]5 i* {" }0 g3 J3 @
7. [A]meeting [B]occurrence [C]encounter [D]contact o f$ B/ N$ U& i
8. [A]patterns [B]designs [C]arrangements[D]pictures
% N6 t! g' I3 O( x( u8 j1 d( a 9. [A]disappointde [B]absent [C]inadequate [D]absolute
/ D0 q2 l6 [8 `7 W; W, A' i 10.[A]creates [B]produces [C]loses [D]protects
2 _( A/ g" `9 c5 o* \ 11.[A]obscure [B]indistinct [C]explicit [D]explosive) i9 Q$ w j6 M4 u# A
12.[A]for [B]at [C]in [D]with
$ S% S. f( B" d* \, t 13.[A]distinguish [B]distinct [C]distort [D]distract
+ Z7 l5 \" B2 H+ W 14.[A]at [B]on [C]to [D]under
& |$ }" e& }% m! e( ^ 15.[A]why [B]how [C]that [D]where
- I' Q5 s; d- k2 Q 16.[A]predict [B]produce [C]pretend [D]precede; ~5 I X7 L5 e) t" _2 D
17.[A]content [B]contact [C]contest [D]context U' ?# S) c9 r* |
18.[A]happen [B]occur [C]occupy [D]incur- K6 i3 m( Y# C' V% d! N4 Q
19.[A]at [B]on [C]to [D]beyond5 |# }7 ~0 p6 d. d) ^7 }
20.[A]purposes [B]ambitions [C]drives [D]goals |