Have you ever wondered what our future is like?Practically all people _1_ a desire to predict their future _2_.Most people seem inclined to _3_ this task using causal reasoning.First we _4_ recognize that future circumstances are _5_ caused or conditioned by present ones.We learn that getting an education will _6_ how much money we earn later and that swimming beyond the reef may bring an unhappy _7_ with a shark.
' Y! h* I* t) U Second,people also learn that such _8_ of cause and effect are probabilistic(可能的) in nature.That is,the effects occur more often when the causes occur than when the causes are _9_, but not always.Thus,students learn that studying hard _10_ good grades in most instances,but not every time.Science makes these concepts of causality and probability more _11_ and provides techniques for dealing _12_ then more accurately than does causal human inquiry.In looking at ordinary human inquiry,we need to _13_ between prediction and understanding.Often,even if we don't understand why,we are willing to act _14_ the basis of a demonstrated predictive ability.
4 w2 W, o' w( A* Z9 E* _: ]+ n" O Whatever the primitive drives _15_ motivate human beings,satisfying them depends heavily on the ability to _16_ future circumstances.The attempt to predict is often played in a _17_ of knowledge and understanding.If you can understand why certain regular patterns _18_,you can predict better than if you simply observe those patterns.Thus,human inquiry aims _19_ answering both "what" and "why" question,and we pursue these _20_ by observing and figuring out.
- [ Y) q- m2 W, } 1. [A]exhibit [B]exaggerate [C]examine [D]exceed& T3 ~) a9 S% K4 a
2. [A]contexts [B]circumstances [C]inspections [D]intuitions
/ R/ q: l0 M9 q; {' t 3.[A]underestimate [B]undermine [C]undertake [D]undergo" Z+ L% h2 V# q/ ?& A9 |+ J* S
4. [A]specially [B]particularly [C]always [D]generally# p) Q2 J* t5 c+ A2 s, [( R
5. [A]somehow [B]somebody [C]someone [D]something
+ {- a. H( \3 t$ N t3 s( j: `5 k+ R" g3 w 6. [A]enact [B]affect [C]reflect [D]inflect1 ]. f+ h/ e, D3 R& ^
7. [A]meeting [B]occurrence [C]encounter [D]contact1 U6 m/ i, w4 ~( D. {
8. [A]patterns [B]designs [C]arrangements[D]pictures9 H- j) x! p, W4 j: V! \
9. [A]disappointde [B]absent [C]inadequate [D]absolute
* I$ w8 ]0 o& Q- d/ f2 t 10.[A]creates [B]produces [C]loses [D]protects$ M5 M$ t& d: g
11.[A]obscure [B]indistinct [C]explicit [D]explosive8 k( h" a6 [; Q6 K2 ?3 @
12.[A]for [B]at [C]in [D]with
' g. Z: Q* g! y; s- P F2 h4 l 13.[A]distinguish [B]distinct [C]distort [D]distract( \" j. }/ f" }4 T
14.[A]at [B]on [C]to [D]under
y! V5 [: A' v# W# J2 c 15.[A]why [B]how [C]that [D]where
# p3 ~0 ^6 S) I) v. I2 U M 16.[A]predict [B]produce [C]pretend [D]precede; C+ k) u6 k! F2 b& c1 O
17.[A]content [B]contact [C]contest [D]context9 ^: X+ l# k; P
18.[A]happen [B]occur [C]occupy [D]incur
2 L4 p5 k: {, p z 19.[A]at [B]on [C]to [D]beyond+ L# ^- C5 ]& W2 T
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