Have you ever wondered what our future is like?Practically all people _1_ a desire to predict their future _2_.Most people seem inclined to _3_ this task using causal reasoning.First we _4_ recognize that future circumstances are _5_ caused or conditioned by present ones.We learn that getting an education will _6_ how much money we earn later and that swimming beyond the reef may bring an unhappy _7_ with a shark./ E3 ]( B* _8 C W$ q( M+ V
Second,people also learn that such _8_ of cause and effect are probabilistic(可能的) in nature.That is,the effects occur more often when the causes occur than when the causes are _9_, but not always.Thus,students learn that studying hard _10_ good grades in most instances,but not every time.Science makes these concepts of causality and probability more _11_ and provides techniques for dealing _12_ then more accurately than does causal human inquiry.In looking at ordinary human inquiry,we need to _13_ between prediction and understanding.Often,even if we don't understand why,we are willing to act _14_ the basis of a demonstrated predictive ability.
3 m' q3 q8 P$ f Whatever the primitive drives _15_ motivate human beings,satisfying them depends heavily on the ability to _16_ future circumstances.The attempt to predict is often played in a _17_ of knowledge and understanding.If you can understand why certain regular patterns _18_,you can predict better than if you simply observe those patterns.Thus,human inquiry aims _19_ answering both "what" and "why" question,and we pursue these _20_ by observing and figuring out.) h9 E% i' v0 ?+ z8 ^! H
1. [A]exhibit [B]exaggerate [C]examine [D]exceed
2 Z6 W) G, R3 P* ?0 R( T$ h3 Y 2. [A]contexts [B]circumstances [C]inspections [D]intuitions
! n* v5 Q* S; x5 \ 3.[A]underestimate [B]undermine [C]undertake [D]undergo
8 y: J7 f4 G2 k* F* O) t 4. [A]specially [B]particularly [C]always [D]generally9 ?0 a5 r1 p& k+ K, `
5. [A]somehow [B]somebody [C]someone [D]something
( Y: W6 ~" H3 b C 6. [A]enact [B]affect [C]reflect [D]inflect# P/ @8 w2 \! ^4 f* N
7. [A]meeting [B]occurrence [C]encounter [D]contact
9 y. S3 [5 _' ? 8. [A]patterns [B]designs [C]arrangements[D]pictures
8 O' s" D; h) P6 U8 y& g* k 9. [A]disappointde [B]absent [C]inadequate [D]absolute
3 J l% v. f7 ^& Y4 a0 s$ D 10.[A]creates [B]produces [C]loses [D]protects
D. k2 q7 F1 f$ c8 r 11.[A]obscure [B]indistinct [C]explicit [D]explosive
) V M m4 r7 M( O- T/ l. r; \ 12.[A]for [B]at [C]in [D]with* F# a/ T* {* O* n
13.[A]distinguish [B]distinct [C]distort [D]distract- u; R8 J8 j5 }3 }8 _4 O4 K+ f! \# t
14.[A]at [B]on [C]to [D]under
) D% p# C, c! ~6 D+ F- ` 15.[A]why [B]how [C]that [D]where* j) C4 `4 | d4 g; l
16.[A]predict [B]produce [C]pretend [D]precede
) X! M4 A% i% a. q; ` 17.[A]content [B]contact [C]contest [D]context
9 C. P* a) p0 k n( E 18.[A]happen [B]occur [C]occupy [D]incur
& n6 d o/ Y1 L* T6 \+ Q) p 19.[A]at [B]on [C]to [D]beyond
- G& h+ ` Q0 a5 K. y7 g |